Evidence-Governed Evolution（EGE）：自主 AI 智能体自生成更新的证据化采纳框架

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Abstract:Autonomous agents modify prompts, memories, tools, workflows, and policies using interaction histories. Yet a plausible modification is not necessarily suitable for persistent adoption: candidate selection is adaptive, evaluators may be imperfect, and local gains can hide degradation against an earlier baseline. We introduce Evidence-Governed Evolution (EGE), a framework for governing adoption of self-generated agent modifications. EGE separates candidate generation from confirmatory adoption, evaluates frozen candidates on fresh paired audits, requires meaningful improvement on a prespecified primary objective, protects declared capabilities through reference-relative non-inferiority tests, and applies governance constraints before bounded canary deployment. We establish an evaluator-calibrated simultaneous lower-bound construction for a countable sequence of adaptively generated candidates. It combines candidate-wise Hoeffding bounds with independent calibration samples comparing the operational evaluator with a prespecified reference procedure. We also formalise reference replacement through bridge tests, derive a cumulative degradation bound along a versioned reference lineage, and provide an audit-planning condition relating effect-size margin, sample sizes, and acceptance probability. A Monte Carlo stress test illustrates calibration under candidate-dependent evaluator optimism; it is a stylised statistical experiment, not an evaluation of a deployed agent. The guarantees are conditional on bounded paired scores, fresh sampling, a valid reference-evaluation construct, and declared evaluation distributions; they do not establish universal agent safety or robustness to arbitrary distribution shift.

Submission history

From: Subodh Lonkar [view email]
[v1] Thu, 12 Nov 2026 06:45:02 UTC (28 KB)