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arXiv cs.AI· Ilija Subasic, Brett Levert, Andrew Rabinovich, Sajjad Pakdamansavoji, Zhao Chen·· 14 小时前AI 评分39

LLM-as-a-Judge 中的“提示词抽奖”:测量与缓解对句法改写的敏感性

Prompt Lottery in LLM-as-a-Judge: Measuring and Mitigating Sensitivity to Syntactic Rephrasing

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研究提出 LLM-as-a-Judge 中的“Prompt Lottery”现象:语义相同但表层表述不同的改写提示词会导致评判结果变化,部分场景下甚至反转模型相对排名。10 名人工标注者的用户研究显示,LLM 评判器在提示词改写下的一致性下降幅度是人类的 6-9 倍,低于可用性研究普遍接受的阈值。多提示词聚合可显著提升鲁棒性,其思路是强化在提示词变体间保持一致的判断。

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Abstract:LLM-as-a-Judge has become a standard for evaluating large language models, yet most approaches implicitly assume that a single judge prompt functions as a stable evaluation instrument. Prior work has primarily explored deliberate prompt modifications such as scoring rubrics, role descriptions, or chain-of-thought reasoning in order to optimize accuracy. In contrast, we investigate whether validated prompt variants intended to preserve evaluation semantics while differing in surface realization (\textit{paraphrastic rephrasings}) yield consistent judgments under a fixed evaluation task. We introduce \textit{Prompt Lottery}, a phenomenon in which paraphrastic rephrasings produce different LLMaJ judgments. Across a large-scale study spanning diverse evaluation tasks, judge families, and model backbones, we find that these variations can alter evaluation outcomes and, in some settings, reverse relative model rankings. A user study with 10 human annotators shows that LLMaJ judges exhibit 6-9$\times$ larger agreement degradation under prompt rephrasings than humans, falling below the generally accepted threshold in usability studies. This indicates that single-prompt evaluation is insufficiently robust for model ranking. Finally, we show that multi-prompt aggregation substantially improves robustness by emphasizing judgments that remain consistent across prompt variants.
Comments: 55 pages (11 with no appendix), 10 figures
Subjects: Computation and Language (cs.CL); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)
ACM classes: I.2.7
Cite as: arXiv:2610.38076 [cs.CL]
  (or arXiv:2610.38076v1 [cs.CL] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.38076

arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

Submission history

From: Ilija Subasic [view email]
[v1] Tue, 27 Oct 2026 23:45:24 UTC (753 KB)

来源:arXiv cs.AI · arxiv.org