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arXiv cs.CL· Erfan Baghaei Potraghloo, Milad Heidari Sorkhehdizaj, Shahab Rahimirad, Aliasghar Pourghani, Seyedarmin Azizi, Souvik Kundu, Abolfazl Hashemi, Joseph Campbell, Vijay Gupta·· 10 小时前AI 评分31

粒子解码的序列级 Rényi 熵:为 LLM 自适应推理提供零成本不确定性信号

Free Lunch Uncertainty: Sequence-Level R\'enyi Entropy from Particle Decoding for Adaptive LLM Reasoning

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研究者证明,用于 power sampling 的 Sequential Monte Carlo(SMC)解码在估计幂分布归一化常数时,可零边际成本读出模型补全分布的序列级 Rényi 熵(SRE),且在任意粒子预算下都有保证。

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Abstract:Quantifying uncertainty over an entire LLM completion is critical for selective prediction and adaptive compute. Zero-cost signals such as mean token entropy and log-probability are local to tokens or to one completion, and self-consistency needs many extra completions. We show that Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) decoding for power sampling already estimates the normalizing constant of the power distribution, which gives the sequence-level R'enyi entropy (SRE) of the model's completion distribution at zero marginal cost, with a guarantee at every particle budget. A R'enyi chain rule extends this readout to a family of stepwise entropies of any order. We prove that orders above one are tied to the most likely token of each step, which explains why they track log-probability, while the order-1/2 member accumulates the log of per-step search effort. This member is the best zero-cost selective-prediction signal in 10 of 13 settings. On MATH500 its AUROC is 0.022 to 0.044 above log-probability with all four models and within length quartiles, and the same order is selected when each setting is held out. An 8-particle probe identifies the problems that benefit from more particles, and a two-pass policy matches 64-particle accuracy on MATH500 with 34.2% fewer particles over three seeds.
Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Computation and Language (cs.CL)
Cite as: arXiv:2611.13414 [cs.LG]
  (or arXiv:2611.13414v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2611.13414

arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Shahab Rahimirad [view email]
[v1] Tue, 10 Nov 2026 00:49:36 UTC (679 KB)

来源:arXiv cs.CL · arxiv.org