arXiv cs.CY· Mirko Degli Esposti·· 12 小时前AI 评分39
Animarium 技术报告 v1:仅凭公开聚合数据生成意大利 11 市镇合成人口
Animarium:Technical Report Version 1
AI 导读
Animarium 技术报告 v1 展示了仅用已发布的聚合数据生成意大利 11 个市镇合成人口的方法,覆盖 1,814,317 人、887,937 户。四层结构分别处理最多九项人口属性、23 项态度与健康变量的整向量捐赠、按普查分区与单岁年龄及地址的落位,以及按分区普查规模分布约束的家庭。
正文 · 原文
Abstract:Synthetic populations of eleven Italian municipalities (1,814,317 individuals in 887,937 households) generated from published aggregates alone: ISTAT census and register tables, census-section counts, the national civic-address register, public-use survey microdata, and six municipal open-data portals, every source certified in a registry with licence, fingerprint and declared affordances. Four rings give every attribute a declared place: a maximum-entropy joint model of up to nine demographic attributes; whole-vector donation of twenty-three attitudinal and health variables from survey respondents; placement to census section, single year of age and address; and households constrained by the census size distribution per section. Every downstream layer (detailed titles, work, names, biographies) is a declared derivation adding no information. The pipeline is deterministic to the byte: regenerating all eleven municipalities from the tagged commit reproduces every file of every ring bit for bit, in 33 minutes on one workstation. Populations are released in a public regime enforced in the data (no names, no addresses, coordinates randomised within census section), browsable in Animarium, a dependency-free web viewer where every number carries its comparison and every view is a citable URL, and downloadable as an open dataset. The report documents the architecture, the sources and their certification, the reproducibility and quality measurements at the release tag, the viewer, and the narrative layer that renders records into personas for LLM-driven simulation, with the platform's controllability demonstrated in companion experiments, and validation explicitly out of scope.
| Subjects: | Computers and Society (cs.CY) |
| Cite as: | arXiv:2608.27111 [cs.CY] |
| (or arXiv:2608.27111v4 [cs.CY] for this version) | |
| https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.27111 arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite |
Submission history
From: Mirko Degli Esposti [view email]
[v1]
Thu, 27 Aug 2026 13:25:35 UTC (331 KB)
[v2]
Sat, 29 Aug 2026 08:39:23 UTC (101 KB)
[v3]
Mon, 7 Sep 2026 17:15:42 UTC (102 KB)
[v4]
Fri, 16 Oct 2026 06:36:06 UTC (106 KB)
来源:arXiv cs.CY · arxiv.org