当乌托邦近在眼前,退休金便成了多余
No Need for Retirement When Utopia Is Around the Corner
作者读 Daniel Ellsberg《The Doomsday Machine》时发现,Ellsberg 在 RAND 的年轻同事因确信核浩劫将至而不参加退休计划,这与当下 AI 研究者认为 AI 会先治愈癌症而开始吸烟的说法相似。作者据此调侃,Anthropic 这类实验室或许会取消雇主退休福利,以展示对全民高收入即将到来的信念。
I’ve mentioned before my interest in the history and development of nuclear weapons.
Currently, I’m reading The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner by Daniel Ellsberg (of Pentagon Papers renown).
In the first chapter, Ellsberg talks about his time working at the RAND Corporation during the missile gap years when the U.S. thought it was falling behind the Soviet Union in nuclear capabilities.
Many of his descriptions sound strikingly similar to the rhetoric coming out of places like Anthropic. For example, note the religious overtones of working at a corporation:
I loved RAND, where I ended up spending ten years [...] Much, I imagined, like members of a religious order would, I shared with my colleagues a sense of brotherhood, living and working with others for a transcendent cause.
They were insiders: burdened with the responsibility of knowledge others did not possess.
precisely in my early missile-gap years at RAND and as a consultant in Washington, there was our sense of mission, the burden of believing we knew more about the dangers ahead, and what might be done about them, than did the generals in the Pentagon or SAC, or Congress or the public, or even the president. It was an enlivening burden.
And what was their “enlivening burden”? Saving the world:
[My colleagues] shared a feeling—soon transmitted to me—that we were in the most literal sense working to save the world.
What really stood out was this part, where Ellsberg describes how he and his colleagues truly believed the end was nigh:
From the Air Force intelligence estimates I was newly privy to, and the dark view of the Soviets, which my colleagues shared with the whole national security community, I couldn't believe that the world would long escape nuclear holocaust. Alain Enthoven and I were the youngest members of the department. Neither of us joined the extremely generous retirement plan RAND offered. Neither of us believed, in our late twenties, we had a chance of collecting on it.
This reminds me of the report that AI researchers have taken up smoking as a way to signal their belief that AI will cure cancer before smoking kills them.
At this point, I wouldn’t be surprised to hear a lab like Anthropic announce they’re discontinuing all employer-sponsored retirement benefits. It’d be a small sacrifice on behalf of the employees to demonstrate their faith that universal high income is just around the corner. (The corporate cost savings would just be a nice bonus.)
来源:Hacker News · blog.jim-nielsen.com