DeepMind 经济总监：数百万 AI 智能体也难带来高增长

Rohan Paul· @rohanpaul_ai · X·2026-11-09 10:30· 1 小时前AI 评分50

AI 导读

Google DeepMind AGI 经济学总监 Alex Imas 提出，即便存在数百万 AI 智能体，经济仍可能停留在 4% 到 5% 的增长区间。原因是 GDP 衡量的是支出而非产量，AI 让生产近乎免费后竞争会压低价格，产出可能爆发而美元价值几乎不涨，类似农业占 GDP 从约 40% 降至 2% 但产量大增。他还指出，两位数增长还需要买家有足够资金消化产出而不致价格崩塌。

正文 · 原文

Millions of AI agents, and growth could still sit at 4% to 5%

~ Google DeepMind Director of AGI Economics Alex Imas

"Let's say you have tons of autonomous organizations, millions of agents. There's a state of the world where you're still in like the 4% to 5% growth zone."

Because, GDP measures dollars spent, not how much stuff gets made, and when AI makes something nearly free to produce, competition drives its price down.

So output can explode while its dollar value barely grows, just as farming went from about 40% of GDP to 2% after automation even though food production soared.
Double-digit growth would also need buyers with enough money to purchase all that output without prices collapsing.

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Full video on "MTS" YouTube channel, (link in comment)

来源：Rohan Paul · x.com